Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?

99%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$5.6K
Total volume$15.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 23, 20262 days ago
First seenOct 15, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 15Oct 17Oct 18Oct 19Oct 21Up 14 points on Oct 16Down 48 points on Oct 17Up 8 points on Oct 18Down 12 points on Oct 19
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 01:48 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.