Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?

24h volume$6
Total volume$28.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Up 37 points on Oct 2Down 18 points on Oct 3Up 26 points on Oct 4Up 21 points on Oct 11Up 13 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket98.6¢101$101+$1.42 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 08:53 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.