Will Guadeloupe win on 2026-10-02?
41%Guadeloupe
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues
24h volume$8K
Total volume$60.4K
Markets22 venues, 2 priced
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 5 hours
First seenSep 19, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiGuadeloupe wins59% No$7.6K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PolymarketWill Guadeloupe win on 2026-10-02?59% No$407 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 01:33 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.