Guadeloupe wins

No60%
Guadeloupe40%

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24h volume$51K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 20 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 10:18 PMOct 1, 07:20 AMOct 1, 04:23 PMOct 2, 01:25 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Guadeloupe wins the Saint Lucia vs Guadeloupe professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Saint Lucia vs Guadeloupe professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi may resolve to a fair price if the match is canceled or rescheduled more than 48 hours, while Polymarket remains open for postponements and resolves No if canceled without a makeup game. Polymarket specifies official governing-body results with fallback sources; Kalshi does not publish a separate source here.
  • Kalshithis market

    Guadeloupe wins

    If Guadeloupe wins the Saint Lucia vs Guadeloupe professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Saint Lucia vs Guadeloupe professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Guadeloupe win on 2026-10-02?

    In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 2, 2026 If Guadeloupe wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Saint Lucia winsKalshi68% NoOpen
Tie is the resultKalshi74% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
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As of Oct 2, 02:03 AM UTC