Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?

24h volume$79
Total volume$674
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month
First seenSep 18, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 18Sep 27Oct 6Oct 15Oct 24Up 24 points on Sep 19Down 26 points on Sep 20
β–²β–Ό a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket4.4Β’2,273$2,273+$2,173 22.7Γ—

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    66%Yes16 pts
  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    85%Yes3 pts
  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    81%Yes4 pts
  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
    7%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 24, 05:18 PM UTC Β· Market prices are not certainties.