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PoliticsFranceFrance

Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

18%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 16 outcomes

  1. Jean-Luc Mélenchon38%3
  2. Édouard Philippe23%5
  3. David Lisnard · this question18%0
  4. Marine Le Pen10%1
  5. Raphaël Glucksmann10%1
  6. François Hollande2%0
  7. Bruno Retailleau1%0
  8. Gabriel Attal1%0
  9. Éric Zemmour<1%0
  10. Dominique de Villepin<1%0
  11. Jordan Bardella<1%0
  12. Sébastien Lecornu<1%0
24h volume$2.8K
Total volume$8.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesApr 18, 2027in 6 months
First seenOct 12, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25Down 36 points on Oct 13
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket18.6¢538$538+$438 5.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 06:32 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.