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CryptoUnited StatesUnited States

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?

25%Yes
5 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

  1. $10M94%1
  2. $15M83%2
  3. $20M77%1
  4. $30M58%4
  5. $40M43%4
  6. $60M · this question25%5
24h volume$8.7K
Total volume$57.5K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 9 days
First seenOct 16, 2026
Watching0

From Today's edition · Oct 20, 2026

This market asks whether the total commitments for the 1win ($1W) public sale will end above $60M, using the headline pool total shown on the official 1W Token Sale page as the resolution source. The latest market pages I could verify today put the $60M strike at about 34% YES, so traders are still pricing that threshold as possible but not the base case. [1] The other dated detail that matters is timing: a companion market page says the sale opened on Oct. 15, 2026, and that if no verifiable commitment total is available by Nov. 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves No. I did not find a reliable official commitment tally in the sources available here, so the practical question remains whether the live pool total on 1wtoken.com can clear $60M before that deadline. [2]

Context by Predxy AI ·

  1. 1. Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? — 34% YES awebanalysis.com
  2. 2. Total Commitments for the 1win ($1W) Public Sale | Lines.com Odds | Lines.com lines.com

AI-researched background, with linked sources. It does not explain or predict market movements.

Probability history

Open the market

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Down 9 points on Oct 17Up 12 points on Oct 19Down 9 points on Oct 20Up 9 points on Oct 21Up 8 points on Oct 24
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

What happened

  1. Decrypt reported that 1win had announced the public sale before the Oct. 15 opening. 1w Token (1W) — Official Token Sale on Solana
  2. The 1W public sale opened. Total Commitments for the 1win ($1W) Public Sale | Lines.com Odds | Lines.com
  3. The 1W public sale opened. 1w Token (1W) — Official Token Sale on Solana
  4. Bitcoinist said the full public allocation of 130 million 1WIN tokens was filled. $1WIN Public Sale Hits $3.9 Million in Commitments Within Minutes | Bitcoinist.com
  5. The 1W public sale opened on October 15. 1win Token (1WIN) - All information about 1win Token ICO (Token Sale) - ICO Drops
  6. ICO Drops reported the pool at about $5.31 million on the same day. 1w Token (1W) — Official Token Sale on Solana
  7. ICO Drops reported commitments at about $5.31 million and 1.36x oversubscribed. 1win Token (1WIN) - All information about 1win Token ICO (Token Sale) - ICO Drops

Coming up

  1. The Defiant said the token generation event is set for this date. 1win Launches Two-Week Public Sale for $1WIN Token | The Defiant
  2. Distribution and claiming are scheduled for 16:01 UTC. 1w Token (1W) — Official Token Sale on Solana
  3. Public-sale token distribution and claiming are scheduled to open on October 31 at 16:01 UTC. 1win Token (1WIN) - All information about 1win Token ICO (Token Sale) - ICO Drops
  4. If no verifiable commitment total is available, the market resolves No at 11:59 PM ET. Total Commitments for the 1win ($1W) Public Sale | Lines.com Odds | Lines.com
  5. The market resolves at 11:59 PM ET on this date. Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale Predicti... 2026 | Polymarket

Dated from the reporting the question's context cites, and placed alongside the price — never as the reason it moved. Written by AI from cited sources; in English.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket26¢385$385+$285 3.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 06:03 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.