Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?

24h volume$821
Total volume$1.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 9 days
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 06:40 PMOct 23, 02:31 PMOct 24, 10:22 AMOct 25, 06:13 AMDown 24 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket1.8¢5,556$5,556+$5,456 55.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
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  3. 3Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
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  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
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  5. 5OpenRouter AI token usage in October: Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 850T tokens?
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As of Oct 25, 06:31 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.