Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?

24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 15Sep 28Oct 12Oct 25

No recorded data before Sep 11 in this window.

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket2.1¢4,762$4,762+$4,662 47.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 09:07 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.