Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?
76%Yes
6 ptsover 24h
The field · 12 outcomes
- December 31, 11:59 PM99%0
- November 13, 11:59 PM98%0
- November 10, 11:59 PM98%0
- November 6, 11:59 PM97%1
- November 15, 11:59 PM97%0
- November 30, 11:59 PM96%0
- November 5, 11:59 PM91%2
- November 4, 11:59 PM88%1
- November 4, 3:59 AM · this question76%6
- November 4, 12:59 AM67%11
- November 3, 11:59 PM49%4
- November 3, 10:59 PM34%1
24h volume$49
Total volume$2.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days
First seenOct 21, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 79¢ | 127 | $127 | +$26.58 1.3× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?76% Yes$49 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 02:27 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.