Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 15B?

71%Yes
10 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. 14.5B88%0
  2. 15B · this question71%10
  3. 15.5B58%20
  4. 16.5B20%8
  5. 16B20%0
24h volume$67
Total volume$725
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 29, 2026in 5 days
First seenOct 14, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Up 16 points on Oct 15Up 11 points on Oct 22Up 8 points on Oct 23Down 12 points on Oct 24
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket77¢130$130+$29.87 1.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 06:25 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.