Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?

24h volume$19
Total volume$1.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 26Down 10 points on Oct 2Up 11 points on Oct 3Up 8 points on Oct 5
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket17¢588$588+$488 5.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
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  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
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  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    84%Yes1 pts
  4. 4Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    70%Yes2 pts
  5. 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 26, 01:16 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.