Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?: Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?

2%Before December 1, 2026

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

24h volume$928

Total volume$43.9K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

First seenOct 6, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	3¢	3,333	$3,333	+$3,233 33.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?: Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?
98% No$928 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Search

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?: Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Science