SettledWorld
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
Result
Resolved No on Oct 21, 2026. Markets gave it 1% the day before.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
0%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$35.3K
Total volume$38K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 19, 20266 days ago
First seenOct 9, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
100% No$35.3K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 01:48 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.