Who will be arrested in 2026?: Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before Jan 2027?
7%José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
4 ptsover 24h
The field · 19 outcomes
24h volume$15
Total volume$13.4K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5.9¢ | 1,695 | $1,695 | +$1,595 16.9× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Who will be arrested in 2026?: Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before Jan 2027?93% No$15 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
As of Oct 24, 06:26 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.