Who will be Argentina's Peronist presidential nominee?: Will Sergio Massa win the Justicialist Party's nomination for the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

24h volume$14
Total volume$1.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesSep 15, 2027in 11 months
First seenOct 13, 2026
Watching0

From Today's edition · Oct 20, 2026

A typical photograph shows Sergio Massa speaking at a podium during a political event.
Illustrative photo · Palácio do Planalto from Brasilia, Brasil, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

As of Oct. 20, 2026, Sergio Massa has **not** been formally confirmed as the Justicialist Party’s 2027 presidential nominee. In the last 48 hours, Clarín said the PJ’s 2027 internal battle is heating up, with the Kirchner camp and Massa pressing on one side and Axel Kicillof emerging as the other main contender; the report also quoted Kicillof as not waiting for Cristina Fernández de Kirchner or Massa to choose him. [1] Earlier this month, a report quoted Massa saying he is “not a candidate for anything” and that talking about candidacies now is “madness,” even as PJ figures negotiate a 2027 front. In August, the party’s political table met with Kicillof, Massa, Máximo Kirchner and governors to organize the 2027 strategy. Reuters reported in May that the opposition had not yet announced candidates, that Massa and Kicillof were both potential runners, and that campaigning for the October 2027 presidential race would begin in August 2027. [2]

Context by Predxy AI ·

  1. 1. Interna del PJ para 2027: los Kirchner y Massa aceleran la presión y buscan acorralar a Kicillof clarin.com
  2. 2. Kicillof, Massa y Zamora: negociaciones por la candidatura presidencial del peronismo en 2027 enfoqueciudad.com

AI-researched background, with linked sources. It does not explain or predict market movements.

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 20, 2026 · Clarín quoted Kicillof saying he is not waiting for Cristina Fernández de Kirchner or Massa to pick him.6Oct 20, 2026 · A Buenos Aires report said Massa met Kirchner on Friday, signaling the nomination fight is still open.7

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

What happened

  1. Reuters said the opposition had not announced candidates and that Massa and Kicillof were both possible contenders. Kicillof, Massa y Zamora: negociaciones por la candidatura presidencial del peronismo en 2027
  2. Reuters said Peronist leaders were discussing a broad 2027 alliance and had not named candidates. Peronist leaders in Argentina seek broad alliance as Milei loses support By Reuters
  3. The PJ political table met with Kicillof, Massa, Máximo Kirchner and governors to plan the 2027 strategy. Kicillof, Massa y Zamora: negociaciones por la candidatura presidencial del peronismo en 2027
  4. AP reported that Peronism was still struggling to unite behind a successor. Argentina's leaderless opposition struggles to unite against Milei's reelection bid
  5. A report quoted Massa as saying he is not a candidate for anything and that candidacy talk is madness. Kicillof, Massa y Zamora: negociaciones por la candidatura presidencial del peronismo en 2027
  6. Clarín quoted Kicillof saying he is not waiting for Cristina Fernández de Kirchner or Massa to pick him. Interna del PJ para 2027: los Kirchner y Massa aceleran la presión y buscan acorralar a Kicillof
  7. A Buenos Aires report said Massa met Kirchner on Friday, signaling the nomination fight is still open. Cristina Kirchner recibió a Massa: la estrategia para definir candidaturas y la expectativa por una decisión de la ONU | TN

Coming up

  1. Reuters said campaigning for Argentina's October 2027 presidential race would begin in August 2027. Kicillof, Massa y Zamora: negociaciones por la candidatura presidencial del peronismo en 2027

Dated from the reporting the question's context cites, and placed alongside the price — never as the reason it moved. Written by AI from cited sources; in English.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi14¢714$714+$614 7.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Politics

View category
  1. 1U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party
    91%Yes0 pts
  2. 2Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton
    36%Ken Paxton1 pts
  3. 3Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)
    37%Yes3 pts
  4. 42026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? R-House, R-Senate
    9%Republicans sweep1 pts
  5. 5Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)
    65%Yes2 pts

As of Oct 24, 12:12 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.