Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Gavin Newsom
14%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
The field · 33 outcomes
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Rahm Emanuel26%6
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Pete Buttigieg16%4
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Gavin Newsom · this question14%0
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%4
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Mark Kelly11%1
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Cory Booker10%0
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.10%1
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Kamala Harris9%0
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Marjorie Taylor Greene9%0
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Hunter Biden8%0
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — J.D. Vance7%2
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Bernie Sanders7%0
24h volume$3.9K
Total volume$84.6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18¢ | 556 | $556 | +$456 5.6× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026? — Gavin Newsom87% No$3.9K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 07:28 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.