Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?: Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

22%OpenAI
2 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$1.5K
Total volume$151K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 2, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 20Sep 26Oct 2

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini
    34%Gemini1 pts
  2. 2Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    40%Yes13 pts
  3. 3Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    61%Yes10 pts
  4. 4Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? ChatGPT
    9%ChatGPT2 pts
  5. 5When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 1, 2026
    6%Before Nov 1, 20269 pts

As of Oct 2, 03:46 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.