When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? Before Dec 1, 2026

10%Before Dec 1, 2026
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$2.4K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Oct 1

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 1, 04:25 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.