When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?: When will the next hurricane form? Before Nov 15, 2026

62%Before Nov 15, 2026
20 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$3.1
Total volume$1.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Oct 2

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Science

View category →
  1. 1Hurricane Rachel category?: Will Rachel become a Category 4 hurricane? Category 4 or above
    68%Category 4 or above51 pts
  2. 2Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record — 3
    10%Yes0 pts
  3. 3Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
    3%Yes0 pts
  4. 4Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
    48%Yes14 pts
  5. 5Will Rachel peak at Category 3?
    38%Yes8 pts

As of Oct 2, 12:04 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.