US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026: Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 10%?
15%Above 10%
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$1.1K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 5, 2026next month
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiUS effective tariff rate for Q3 2026: Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 10%?85% No$0 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Sep 29, 11:24 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.