Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 12, 2026: Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 12, 2026 be above 76,500 MW?

Result

Settled on Oct 13, 2026. Markets gave it 24% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

1%Above 76,500 MW
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$5K
Total volume$5.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 20, 20264 days ago
First seenOct 12, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12, 07:35 AMOct 12, 07:52 PMOct 13, 08:09 AMOct 13, 08:26 PM

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 01:09 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.