Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 15 in Sep 2026?
4%At least 15
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$2.8K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJan 4, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiStrait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 15 in Sep 2026?96% No$0 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in World
- 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15%Yes0 pts
- 2US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?31%Yes0 pts
- 3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?4%Yes0 pts
- 4Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?22%Yes1 pts
- 5 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?10%Yes4 pts
As of Sep 29, 09:17 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.