Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 12 in Oct 2026?
9%At least 12
1 ptsover 24h
The field · 6 outcomes
24h volume$21
Total volume$997
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10¢ | 1,000 | $1,000 | +$900 10× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 12 in Oct 2026?91% No$21 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 01:13 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.