SettledUnclassified
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 8 in Oct 2026?
Result
Settled on Oct 14, 2026. Markets gave it 60% the day before.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
98%At least 8
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$12.3K
Total volume$12.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 8 in Oct 2026?
98% At least 8$12.3K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
As of Oct 24, 01:59 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.