KalshiResolved

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 8 in Oct 2026?

At least 898%
No2%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$12.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 8 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 12 in Oct 2026?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Oct 2026?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 5 in Oct 2026?Kalshi99% At least 5Open
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 25 in Oct 2026?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 20 in Oct 2026?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 16 in Oct 2026?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 14 in Oct 2026?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 9 in Oct 2026?Kalshi79% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 02:47 PM UTC