Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? Above 4 inches

24h volume$5
Total volume$1.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 8 days
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi9¢1,111$1,111+$1,011 11.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 05:15 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.