Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?

50%Yes
5 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. November 15 · this question50%5
  2. October 3123%2
24h volume$53
Total volume$5K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 16, 2026in 23 days
First seenOct 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 11Oct 15Oct 20Oct 24Up 10 points on Oct 12Down 12 points on Oct 14Down 11 points on Oct 15Down 22 points on Oct 17Up 27 points on Oct 18
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket51¢196$196+$96.08 2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

View category
  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes18 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    7%Yes16 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes15 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    87%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 12:16 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.