Next James Bond announced by October 31, 2026?
1%Yes
8 ptsover 24h
The field · 3 outcomes
24h volume$479
Total volume$3.5K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 days
First seenOct 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
What happened
- Amazon also named Steven Knight to write the next Bond film. James Bond franchise: Amazon MGM Studios gains creative control
- Amazon MGM said the search for the next James Bond was underway and declined to discuss casting details. An update on the search for the next James Bond
Dated from the reporting the question's context cites, and placed alongside the price — never as the reason it moved. Written by AI from cited sources; in English.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ | 10,000 | $10,000 | +$9,900 100× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Next James Bond announced by October 31, 2026?99% No$479 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 12:49 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.