Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?

90%Yes
1 ptsover 24hPlain mean across 0 of 2 venues

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. December 31 · this question90%1
  2. November 3056%0
  3. October 315%0
Last 7 days
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets22 venues, 0 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months
First seenSep 24, 2026
Watching0

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket91¢110$110+$9.89 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    66%Yes16 pts
  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    85%Yes3 pts
  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    81%Yes4 pts
  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
    7%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 24, 04:50 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.