Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?

25%Yes
10 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. November 3051%2
  2. October 31 · this question25%10
24h volume$280
Total volume$4.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 days
First seenOct 12, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Up 19 points on Oct 13Down 19 points on Oct 14Up 10 points on Oct 15Down 26 points on Oct 16Down 12 points on Oct 19
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket27¢370$370+$270 3.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes18 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    7%Yes16 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes15 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    87%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 12:18 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.