Meta announces a training pause by October 31?

24h volume$208
Total volume$2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days
First seenSep 15, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 15Sep 24Oct 4Oct 14Oct 24Down 10 points on Sep 16Up 34 points on Sep 19Down 26 points on Sep 20Up 11 points on Oct 2
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket2.8¢3,571$3,571+$3,471 35.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    66%Yes16 pts
  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    85%Yes3 pts
  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    81%Yes4 pts
  4. 4Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts
  5. 5When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 1, 2026
    2%Before Nov 1, 20260 pts

As of Oct 24, 04:46 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.