Mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of Channukah?

Result

Resolved Yes on Oct 2, 2026. Markets gave it 20% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

100%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$3.9K
Total volume$5.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 13, 2026in 2 months
First seenSep 29, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:22 PMSep 30, 05:40 PMOct 1, 12:58 PMOct 2, 08:16 AMDown 40 points on Sep 30Up 89 points on Oct 1
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 05:16 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.