PolymarketOpen

Mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of Channukah?

No90%
Yes11%

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24h volume$501.1
7d volume$501.1
30d volume$501.1
Liquidity$11K
Spread4%
ResolvesDec 13, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:22 PMSep 30, 06:50 AMSep 30, 03:17 PMSep 30, 11:44 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be both taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, or AI-generated media will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including images or video evidence.

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As of Sep 30, 11:45 PM UTC