Mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of Channukah?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be both taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, or AI-generated media will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including images or video evidence.
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 11:45 PM UTC