Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?

49%Yes
11 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. November 788%2
  2. October 31 · this question49%11
  3. October 241%5
24h volume$1.1K
Total volume$5.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 7 days
First seenOct 20, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Up 13 points on Oct 21Down 15 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket49¢204$204+$104 2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 01:03 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.