Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026: Will the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 4.6 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026? Below 4.6 million sq km
99%Below 4.6 million sq km
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$16
Total volume$2.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 3 hours
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWill the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 4.6 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026? Below 4.6 million sq km99% Below 4.6 million sq km$16 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 11:04 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.