Louisiana's 5th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 48 percentage points? Republicans, 48+ pts
45%Republicans, 48+ pts
0 ptsover 24h
The field · 19 outcomes
- Republicans, 18+ pts94%0
- Republicans, 12+ pts93%1
- Republicans, 9+ pts93%1
- Republicans, 15+ pts93%0
- Republicans, 21+ pts88%0
- Republicans, 27+ pts72%0
- Republicans, 24+ pts68%0
- Republicans, 30+ pts66%0
- Republicans, 36+ pts50%0
- Republicans, 39+ pts49%0
- Republicans, 45+ pts47%0
- Republicans, 48+ pts · this question45%0
24h volume$0
Total volume$530
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year
First seenOct 13, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 48¢ | 208 | $208 | +$108 2.1× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Louisiana's 5th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 48 percentage points? Republicans, 48+ pts55% No$0 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 05:55 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.