Kansas Senate margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 23 percentage points? Republicans, 23+ pts

24h volume$0
Total volume$16
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 19Oct 1Oct 12Oct 24

No recorded data before Sep 22 in this window.

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi96¢*104$104+$4.17 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Politics

View category
  1. 1Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton
    36%Ken Paxton1 pts
  2. 2U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party
    91%Yes0 pts
  3. 3Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)
    37%Yes2 pts
  4. 4Brazil Presidential election winner?: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    17%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva8 pts
  5. 5Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)
    65%Yes2 pts

As of Oct 24, 08:58 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.