Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold: Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 4% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

80%At least 4%

22 ptsover 24h

The field · 9 outcomes

24h volume$10

Total volume$10

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesFeb 3, 2027in 3 months

First seenOct 24, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	82¢	122	$122	+$21.95 1.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold: Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 4% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
80% At least 4%$10 24h volume
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Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold: Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 4% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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