Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 15?

0%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$79
Total volume$2.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 16, 20269 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 5Oct 10Oct 14Oct 19Down 23 points on Oct 1
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 11:52 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.