Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?

24%Yes
13 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. November 30 · this question24%13
  2. October 3111%5
24h volume$33
Total volume$3.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Up 32 points on Oct 1Down 20 points on Oct 2Up 13 points on Oct 15Down 15 points on Oct 17Up 15 points on Oct 19
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket29¢345$345+$245 3.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
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  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
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As of Oct 24, 06:30 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.