Iran charges Hormuz fees by...: December 31

19%Yes
5 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$3.9K
Total volume$291.7K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 17Sep 25Oct 2

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 2, 03:44 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.