Hurricane Vance category?: Will Vance become a Category 5 hurricane? Category 5 or above
1%Category 5 or above
6 ptsover 24h
The field · 5 outcomes
24h volume$50
Total volume$194
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1¢ | 10,000 | $10,000 | +$9,900 100× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Hurricane Vance category?: Will Vance become a Category 5 hurricane? Category 5 or above99% No$50 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
As of Oct 24, 02:54 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.