Hurricane Trudy category?: Will Trudy become a Category 4 hurricane? Category 4 or above

24h volume$47
Total volume$11.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month
First seenOct 14, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Down 16 points on Oct 15Up 81 points on Oct 16
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi2¢5,000$5,000+$4,900 50×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 05:15 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.