Hurricane Simon category?: Will Simon become a Category 4 hurricane? Category 4 or above
99%Category 4 or above
0 ptsover 24h
The field · 5 outcomes
24h volume$0
Total volume$5.8K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
What happened
- Hurricane Simon strengthened to Category 1 with 75 mph winds off west-central Mexico coast. Hurricane Simon Tracker - Path, Warnings & Forecast (2026)
- National Hurricane Center forecasts Simon to reach Category 4 with 130 mph winds by early Saturday. Simon forecast to strike Mexico as Category 4 hurricane - BNO News
Dated from the reporting the question's context cites, and placed alongside the price — never as the reason it moved. Written by AI from cited sources; in English.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 99¢* | 101 | $101 | +$1.01 1× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Hurricane Simon category?: Will Simon become a Category 4 hurricane? Category 4 or above99% Category 4 or above$0 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in World
As of Oct 24, 09:18 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.