How many states will redistrict before the midterms?: Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be above 12 before the 2026 midterms?
2%Above 12
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$1.9K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWill the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be above 12 before the 2026 midterms?98% No$0 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 12:02 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.