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How many states will redistrict before the midterms?: Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be above 12 before the 2026 midterms?
No98%
Above 122%
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ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months
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Resolution rules
If above 12 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “undergo congressional redistricting” means satisfying the Payout Criterion of the REDISTRICTING contract. “After Issuance” in the REDISTRICTING contract is treated as “after July 1, 2025.” REDISTRICTING contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/REDISTRICTING.pdf
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As of Sep 29, 10:57 PM UTC