How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026? 5.39% or below

Result

Settled on Oct 24, 2026. Markets gave it 81% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

81%5.39% or below
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$0
Total volume$1.1K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 6 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Up 17 points on Oct 5Down 62 points on Oct 15Up 25 points on Oct 17Up 9 points on Oct 19Down 25 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  2. 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
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  3. 3Fed Decision in October — No change
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  4. 4Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
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  5. 5Fed Decision in October — 25 bps increase
    6%Yes2 pts

As of Oct 24, 09:29 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.