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EconomyUnited StatesUnited States

How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.59% in Oct 2026? 4.58% or below

39%4.58% or below
1 ptsover 24h

The field · 10 outcomes

  1. 4.62% or below87%0
  2. 4.64% or below76%19
  3. 4.63% or below62%14
  4. 4.59% or below39%2
  5. 4.57% or below11%26
  6. 4.56% or below10%24
  7. 4.55% or below8%24
  8. 4.54% or below6%24
  9. 4.53% or below5%23
  10. 4.52% or below4%22
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 6 days
First seenOct 23, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 23, 05:19 AMOct 23, 09:36 AMOct 23, 01:54 PMOct 23, 06:11 PM

No recorded data before Oct 23 in this window.

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  4. 4Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee leave unchanged The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?
    94%Yes2 pts
  5. 5Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
    93%Fed maintains rate0 pts

As of Oct 24, 02:56 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.