How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.73% in Oct 2026? 4.72% or below

Result

Settled on Oct 23, 2026. Markets gave it 60% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

60%4.72% or below
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$0
Total volume$3.6K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 6 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 6Oct 12Oct 17Oct 23Up 33 points on Oct 4Down 30 points on Oct 8Up 73 points on Oct 14Down 56 points on Oct 15Up 36 points on Oct 19
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 02:56 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.